The Nigerian equities market has entered the third quarter of 2026 with strong momentum, as the NGX All-Share Index records a 60% year-to-date return. Market consensus from major research houses and strategists identifies the banking sector as the primary driver for Q3 performance, citing robust capital bases following recent recapitalization, resilient earnings, and attractive valuations. Secondary support is expected from the industrial goods, telecommunications, and consumer goods sectors. While analysts remain optimistic about the potential for the index to reach new highs, they warn that elevated Treasury yields may continue to compete with equities for investor capital throughout the second half of the year. Notable stocks frequently highlighted include Zenith Bank, UBA, Access Holdings, ETI, GTCO, MTN Nigeria, and major cement producers.

Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Governor, Olayemi Cardoso, has stated that the regulator will maintain heightened supervision of the banking sector despite the successful conclusion of the recent recapitalisation exercise.

Speaking at the BusinessDay 14th Annual CEO Forum, Cardoso noted that while the industry raised between N4 trillion and N5 trillion in fresh capital to build resilience against economic shocks, continuous oversight remains essential. He emphasized that the stronger capital base is intended to support eventual increased lending to the private sector once inflation and interest rates moderate. Cardoso also warned banks against indiscriminate lending, urging them to prioritize sophisticated risk management and proper analysis, especially when navigating complex sectors like oil and gas. The CBN plans to collaborate with financial institutions to enhance their internal risk assessment capabilities.

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has released its latest lending rate disclosure, highlighting significant variations in borrowing costs across the banking sector. Prime lending rates currently range from 19.5% to over 40%, with maximum lending rates peaking as high as 60%.

Among major commercial banks, GTCO reported the lowest prime rate at 21%, while Zenith Bank and Access Corp quoted 23.62% and 25.5%, respectively. These disclosures, part of the CBN’s transparency framework, are designed to help borrowers compare costs. Despite recent Monetary Policy Committee actions, analysts note that bank lending rates remain high, driven by individual risk profiles, liquidity conditions, and the cost of funds rather than just the benchmark interest rate. The data serves as a guide for businesses and households to navigate credit options ahead of the upcoming MPC meeting.